The Annual Progress Report projects corporation tax receipts for this year of €35.3 billion. Over the medium term, corporation tax growth is expected to moderate. The Annual Progress Report projects corporation tax receipts to reach €39.4 billion in 2029, rising to €45.2 billion in 2030.
The large increase between 2029 and 2030 seen in the projections reflects a large negative once-off factor of which my Department has been advised, which may depress 2029 receipts. There are a number of factors that can impact on the projections, including corporate profitability, once-off factors and the (potential) outcome of cross-border tax disputes. This means the growth rate in corporate tax can be volatile from one year to the next.